Fire near Lusaka (ZM)

15.22°S, 30.02°E · first detected on 14 October at 13:00

What the satellites measured

This fire was tracked from 14 October at 13:00 to 22 October at 01:37, that is 8 days, through 118 satellite detections. The detected extent reaches 1,970 ha.

Detected extent: 1,970 ha
Cumulative power: 1,979 MW
Peak power, one pixel: 141 MW
VIIRS and MODIS detections: 118
Estimated emissions: 4.9 kt of carbon; Carbon burnt in the 0.1 degree cells (about 10 km) around the fire, from 14 October 2026 to 21 October 2026. An order-of-magnitude estimate from GFAS (ECMWF, Copernicus CAMS): it also counts neighbouring fires in the same cell. Contains modified Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service information (2026).

These four figures cover the polar orbits alone, the ones that measure an area. The pass table below also counts geostationary detections, more frequent but too coarse for geometry, and its power column sums a whole pass where the peak above is that of a single pixel.

“Detected extent” is not “burned area”: it is the union of the ground footprints of the satellite pixels, and a pixel counts in full (375 m for VIIRS, 1 km for MODIS) even when only a forest edge is burning. Compared with press figures it is in practice one and a half to three times the area reported. Detections taken at the edge of the scan swath, too coarse to measure anything at all, are excluded. These figures come from thermal detection and are not an official assessment: only the emergency services and the competent authorities are authoritative.

Replay how the fire spread

The map is framed on this fire's footprint and loads only its detections. The timeline below covers the period in which satellites saw it, from the first to the last detection, with twelve hours before and twenty-four after; the ticks on the bar mark the emergency services' announcements that fall within it. The cursor opens on the most powerful pass, and playback replays the whole fire in about thirty seconds. “1 h” shows what is burning within an hour of the chosen moment : the map then follows the power curve below and empties when it falls. “24 h” stacks twenty-four hours : a fire stays visible between two satellite passes, which come two to four times a day. Both are true, but they say different things.

How the radiative power evolved

One point per satellite pass: the sum of the fire radiative power measured over the fire. This is the curve that says whether the fire eased off or picked up again, which no cumulative figure shows. The window covers 10 days; beyond that, clustering would merge two successive fires in the same place.

Fire dynamics

Loading history…

Satellite passes in detail

Pass	Power summed over the pass	Detections	Sensor
22 October at 01:37	3 MW	1	N20
22 October at 01:18	3 MW	1	N
22 October at 00:40	2 MW	1	N21
21 October at 14:27	9 MW	2	N20
21 October at 14:10	19 MW	3	N
21 October at 13:32	53 MW	2	N21
21 October at 13:03	30 MW	1	Met12
21 October at 12:53	20 MW	1	Met12
21 October at 12:47	20 MW	2	N20
21 October at 12:43	23 MW	1	Met12
21 October at 11:49	55 MW	1	Met9
21 October at 11:43	27 MW	1	Met12
21 October at 11:03	20 MW	1	Met12
21 October at 10:53	33 MW	1	Met12
21 October at 10:49	56 MW	1	Met10
21 October at 10:43	41 MW	2	Met12
21 October at 10:23	30 MW	2	Met12
21 October at 10:13	17 MW	1	Met12
21 October at 01:56	1 MW	1	N20
21 October at 01:35	2 MW	1	N
21 October at 01:01	3 MW	1	N21
20 October at 16:03	14 MW	1	Met12
20 October at 14:27	4 MW	1	N
20 October at 02:16	3 MW	1	N20
20 October at 01:56	3 MW	1	N
20 October at 01:18	2 MW	1	N21
19 October at 18:43	11 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 18:23	13 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 17:53	12 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 17:43	10 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 17:33	11 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 17:23	13 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 17:13	13 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 17:03	11 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 16:53	13 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 16:50	44 MW	1	Met9
19 October at 16:49	43 MW	1	Met10
19 October at 16:43	10 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 16:35	31 MW	1	Met9
19 October at 16:33	23 MW	2	Met12
19 October at 16:23	46 MW	2	Met12
19 October at 16:19	47 MW	1	Met9
19 October at 16:19	55 MW	1	Met10
19 October at 16:13	49 MW	3	Met12
19 October at 16:04	184 MW	3	Met10
19 October at 16:04	176 MW	3	Met9
19 October at 16:03	118 MW	4	Met12
19 October at 16:01	115 MW	4	Aqua
19 October at 15:53	102 MW	4	Met12
19 October at 15:49	101 MW	2	Met10
19 October at 15:49	148 MW	3	Met9
19 October at 15:43	71 MW	3	Met12
19 October at 15:34	91 MW	2	Met9
19 October at 15:34	62 MW	1	Met10
19 October at 15:33	75 MW	4	Met12
19 October at 15:23	15 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 15:13	66 MW	2	Met12
19 October at 15:04	55 MW	1	Met10
19 October at 15:04	102 MW	2	Met9
19 October at 15:03	34 MW	2	Met12
19 October at 14:53	12 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 14:43	18 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 14:10	20 MW	4	N21
19 October at 14:04	86 MW	2	Met9
19 October at 14:03	17 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 13:53	17 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 13:49	51 MW	1	Met9
19 October at 13:43	42 MW	2	Met12
19 October at 13:34	66 MW	1	Met10
19 October at 13:34	103 MW	2	Met9
19 October at 13:33	79 MW	4	Met12
19 October at 13:25	57 MW	4	N20
19 October at 13:23	92 MW	4	Met12
19 October at 13:19	75 MW	1	Met10
19 October at 13:19	144 MW	2	Met9
19 October at 13:13	103 MW	3	Met12
19 October at 13:06	35 MW	6	N
19 October at 13:03	27 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 12:53	27 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 12:49	78 MW	1	Met9
19 October at 12:33	23 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 12:23	49 MW	2	Met12
19 October at 12:19	97 MW	1	Met10
19 October at 12:19	193 MW	2	Met9
19 October at 12:13	24 MW	1	Met12
19 October at 12:03	55 MW	2	Met12
19 October at 11:43	36 MW	1	Met12
18 October at 15:25	24 MW	1	Aqua
18 October at 14:27	93 MW	9	N21
18 October at 13:45	484 MW	10	N20
18 October at 13:25	118 MW	10	N
18 October at 12:47	107 MW	3	N21
17 October at 13:45	8 MW	1	N
15 October at 14:21	2 MW	1	N
15 October at 13:45	6 MW	1	N21
14 October at 16:10	184 MW	6	Aqua
14 October at 14:04	123 MW	10	N21
14 October at 13:19	463 MW	27	N20
14 October at 13:00	14 MW	2	N

8 other fires near Lusaka (ZM)

Separate fires, apart in time or in space, not pieces of this one. A single municipality can have several over one summer, and a forest massif often covers more than a hundred square kilometres.

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