Fire near Mashonaland central (ZW)

16.73°S, 31.82°E · first detected on 12 October at 13:00

What the satellites measured

This fire was tracked from 12 October at 13:00 to 20 October at 14:27, that is 8 days, through 148 satellite detections. The detected extent reaches 2,155 ha.

Detected extent: 2,155 ha
Cumulative power: 2,343 MW
Peak power, one pixel: 100 MW
VIIRS and MODIS detections: 148
Estimated emissions: 5.7 kt of carbon; Carbon burnt in the 0.1 degree cells (about 10 km) around the fire, from 12 October 2026 to 20 October 2026. An order-of-magnitude estimate from GFAS (ECMWF, Copernicus CAMS): it also counts neighbouring fires in the same cell. Contains modified Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service information (2026).

These four figures cover the polar orbits alone, the ones that measure an area. The pass table below also counts geostationary detections, more frequent but too coarse for geometry, and its power column sums a whole pass where the peak above is that of a single pixel.

“Detected extent” is not “burned area”: it is the union of the ground footprints of the satellite pixels, and a pixel counts in full (375 m for VIIRS, 1 km for MODIS) even when only a forest edge is burning. Compared with press figures it is in practice one and a half to three times the area reported. Detections taken at the edge of the scan swath, too coarse to measure anything at all, are excluded. These figures come from thermal detection and are not an official assessment: only the emergency services and the competent authorities are authoritative.

Replay how the fire spread

The map is framed on this fire's footprint and loads only its detections. The timeline below covers the period in which satellites saw it, from the first to the last detection, with twelve hours before and twenty-four after; the ticks on the bar mark the emergency services' announcements that fall within it. The cursor opens on the most powerful pass, and playback replays the whole fire in about thirty seconds. “1 h” shows what is burning within an hour of the chosen moment : the map then follows the power curve below and empties when it falls. “24 h” stacks twenty-four hours : a fire stays visible between two satellite passes, which come two to four times a day. Both are true, but they say different things.

How the radiative power evolved

One point per satellite pass: the sum of the fire radiative power measured over the fire. This is the curve that says whether the fire eased off or picked up again, which no cumulative figure shows. The window covers 11 days; beyond that, clustering would merge two successive fires in the same place.

Fire dynamics

Loading history…

Satellite passes in detail

Pass	Power summed over the pass	Detections	Sensor
20 October at 15:22	14 MW	1	Met12
20 October at 15:02	21 MW	1	Met12
20 October at 14:52	81 MW	3	Met12
20 October at 14:42	104 MW	3	Met12
20 October at 14:34	42 MW	1	Met9
20 October at 14:32	46 MW	2	Met12
20 October at 14:27	63 MW	8	N
20 October at 14:22	73 MW	3	Met12
20 October at 14:19	248 MW	4	Met9
20 October at 14:12	21 MW	1	Met12
20 October at 14:04	78 MW	2	Met9
20 October at 14:02	59 MW	2	Met12
20 October at 13:52	146 MW	5	Met12
20 October at 13:49	79 MW	1	Met10
20 October at 13:49	98 MW	2	Met9
20 October at 13:49	223 MW	18	N21
20 October at 13:42	33 MW	2	Met12
20 October at 13:34	281 MW	2	Met10
20 October at 13:34	419 MW	4	Met9
20 October at 13:32	243 MW	6	Met12
20 October at 13:22	316 MW	8	Met12
20 October at 13:19	286 MW	4	Met9
20 October at 13:12	91 MW	4	Met12
20 October at 13:06	526 MW	18	N20
20 October at 13:04	440 MW	4	Met9
20 October at 13:04	289 MW	2	Met10
20 October at 13:02	186 MW	8	Met12
20 October at 12:52	98 MW	5	Met12
20 October at 12:49	188 MW	2	Met10
20 October at 12:49	249 MW	4	Met9
20 October at 12:45	70 MW	6	N
20 October at 12:42	36 MW	2	Met12
20 October at 12:32	37 MW	2	Met12
20 October at 12:22	69 MW	3	Met12
20 October at 12:19	47 MW	1	Met10
20 October at 12:12	92 MW	4	Met12
20 October at 12:04	169 MW	2	Met10
20 October at 12:04	239 MW	4	Met9
20 October at 12:02	135 MW	4	Met12
20 October at 11:52	140 MW	5	Met12
20 October at 11:49	131 MW	2	Met10
20 October at 11:49	106 MW	2	Met9
20 October at 11:42	80 MW	3	Met12
20 October at 11:32	21 MW	1	Met12
20 October at 11:22	54 MW	2	Met12
20 October at 11:12	51 MW	3	Met12
20 October at 11:04	52 MW	1	Met10
20 October at 11:02	72 MW	4	Met12
20 October at 10:52	12 MW	1	Met12
20 October at 10:42	62 MW	3	Met12
19 October at 16:01	40 MW	3	Aqua
19 October at 14:10	24 MW	3	N21
19 October at 13:25	32 MW	2	N20
19 October at 13:06	51 MW	5	N
18 October at 15:25	201 MW	5	Aqua
18 October at 13:45	151 MW	15	N20
18 October at 13:23	490 MW	17	N
18 October at 12:47	236 MW	19	N21
17 October at 14:04	52 MW	5	N20
17 October at 13:45	35 MW	4	N
17 October at 13:06	49 MW	6	N21
17 October at 01:12	1 MW	1	N
16 October at 14:21	17 MW	1	N20
16 October at 14:02	23 MW	3	N
13 October at 14:21	14 MW	1	N21
13 October at 13:38	32 MW	5	N20
12 October at 13:00	16 MW	3	N21

8 other fires near Mashonaland central (ZW)

Separate fires, apart in time or in space, not pieces of this one. A single municipality can have several over one summer, and a forest massif often covers more than a hundred square kilometres.

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